last release: June 2016
The crop condition map, kindly provided by the GEO Global Agricultural Monitoring initiative (GEOGLAM), synthesizes information for all four AMIS crops in major growing areas. Assessments are based on a combination of national and regional crop analyst inputs along with earth observation data. Crops that are in other than favourable conditions are displayed on the map with their crop symbol.
Crop conditions at a glance
- Wheat: In the northern hemisphere, winter wheat conditions continue to be largely favourable. Spring wheat planting is fully underway and conditions are favourable at this early stage of the season. In the southern hemisphere, the winter wheat season has started under mostly favourable conditions.
- Maize: In the northern hemisphere, planting is almost complete under generally favourable conditions. In the southern hemisphere, conditions continue to be favourable in Argentina, however conditions remain mixed in Brazil due to the unfavourable weather earlier in the season.
- Rice: Overall conditions for the new season are favourable in Southeast Asia. Planting and field preparations are ongoing in Thailand, the Philippines and the US under favourable conditions. End of season conditions for Thailand’s dry season crop were poor due to the impacts of El Niño witnessed throughout the season.
- Soybeans: In the northern hemisphere, planting began under generally favourable conditions. In the southern hemisphere, as the season draws to a close, conditions in Argentina improved, though some concerns remain due to heavy rainfall throughout April.
El Niño comes to a close: Return to neutral conditions
The El Niño of 2015-2016 is effectively over and will not be a factor during the 2016 northern hemisphere growing season. The return to neutral conditions should bring relief to drought stricken areas of East Africa, India, Central America, and Southeast Asia. However, there is an increased probability of a transition to La Niña by September. Should its intensity be moderate to strong, the likelihood of drier than average conditions will increase between October 2016 and June 2017 in the southern Horn of Africa, Central Asia, southeastern China, southeastern South America, Mexico, and the southern United States. Meanwhile, southern Africa, Australia, and northern South America would see above average rainfall.