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AMIS Market Monitor

last release: April 2017

Supply & Demand

2016/17

2017/18

estimate

f'cast 6 Apr

Production

760

740

Supply

985

980

Utilization

738

735

Trade

173

169

Ending Stocks

240

247

in million tonnes

  • Wheat production in 2017 to decline by 2.7 percent mostly on lower outputs in several major producing countries, in particular the US.
  • Utilization in 2017/18 heading for a marginal decrease as feed use of wheat is projected down from 2016/17 because of cheaper supplies of feed grains. 
  • Trade in 2017/18 (July/June) is set to contract by 2.3 percent mostly on account of reduced import demand in China and India. Smaller exports are projected for Australia and the US.
  • Stocks (ending in 2018) to increase for a fifth consecutive year to a new high.