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AMIS Market Monitor

last release: July 2018

Supply & Demand

2017/18

2018/19 forecast

estimate

7 Jun

5 Jul

Production

756.8

754.1

736.1

Supply

1,013.1

1,027.5

1,019.5

Utilization

738.2

743.5

741.1

Trade

173.5

175.0

175.0

Ending Stocks

273.4

283.4

264.2

in million tonnes

  • Wheat production forecast for 2018 lowered, mostly on downward revisions in China, the EU, the Russian Federation and Ukraine.
  • Utilization in 2018/19 reduced slightly following downward adjustments to feed, especially in Australia, Mexico and Ukraine.
  • Trade in 2018/19 (July/June) virtually unchanged, supported by higher sales from the EU and the US more than compensating for lower shipments from Australia, the Russian Federation and Ukraine.
  • Stocks (ending in 2019) trimmed sharply on downward adjustments in China, the EU and the Russian Federation.