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AMIS Market Monitor

last release: May 2017

Supply & Demand

2015/16

2016/17 forecast

estimate

6 Apr

4 May

Production

314.6

342.6

346.1

Supply

358.5

385.3

388.7

Utilization

320.3

337.1

337.5

Trade

134.9

141.2

142.9 

Ending Stocks

42.6

47.8

50.0

in million tonnes

  • Soybean 2016/17 production forecast upgraded by 3.6 million tonnes on better than anticipated yields in Brazil as well as in Bolivia.
  • Utilization in 2016/17 raised marginally, with upward revisions for China and Brazil more than offsetting downward corrections elsewhere.
  • Trade forecast for 2016/17 (Oct-Sept) increased on stronger import demand in China and higher shipments from Brazil.
  • Stocks (2016/17 carry-out) lifted further on higher forecasts for Brazil, China and the US – implying a 17 percent y/y increase in global inventories.