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AMIS Market Monitor

last release: July 2017

Supply & Demand

2016/17

2017/18 forecast

estimate

8 June

6 July

Production

499.3

502.6

502.9

Supply

670.9

673.6

673.6

Utilization

499.7

505.7

505.6

Trade

44.2

44.2

44.4

Ending Stocks

170.7

170.5

171.0

in million tonnes

  • Rice production forecast upgraded slightly, as more buoyant prospects for Brazil, Pakistan and Myanmar are outweighed by reductions for the US and Vietnam.
  • Utilization still forecast to grow by 1.2 percent y/y, with food use set to expand by a similar margin.
  • Trade in calendar 2018 little varied m/m, as upward adjustments to exports by China, India and Myanmar offset reductions for Thailand and Pakistan.
  • Stocks (ending in 2018) raised somewhat, on upward revisions to carryovers in Bangladesh, Myanmar and the Philippines. Conversely, major exporters’ inventories downscaled.