Download the Monitor

AMIS Market Monitor

last release: December 2018

Supply & Demand

2017/18

2018/19 

estimate

1 Nov

6 Dec

Production

506.3

513.0

512.9

Supply

674.3

685.0

685.0

Utilization

503.8

509.2

508.8

Trade

47.9

47.3

47.2

Ending Stocks

172.1

176.6

176.7

in million tonnes

  • Rice production in 2018 only fractionally changed m/m, as a reduction for Madagascar is largely outweighed by improved prospects for a few Latin American countries.
  • Utilization forecast for 2018/19 trimmed, reflecting less buoyant use prospects for Brazil and African countries, namely Nigeria.
  • Trade in 2019 forecast to edge down by 1.4 percent y/y, as lower imports by Bangladesh, China and Indonesia more than offset larger purchases by Egypt, Nigeria and the Philippines
  • Stocks (2018/19 carry-out) still seen expanding by 2.7 percent to an all-time high.