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AMIS Market Monitor

last release: April 2017

Supply & Demand

2016/17

2017/18

estimate

f'cast 6 Apr

Production

499

504

Supply

670

675

Utilization

500

506

Trade

43.5

44.2

Ending Stocks

171

171

in million tonnes

  • Rice production in 2017 tentatively forecast to expand by an additional 1.0 percent, sustained by continued growth in India, along with sizeable recoveries in Brazil, China and Indonesia.
  • Utilization in 2017/18 to grow by 1.2 percent, with food use seen expanding by a similar margin.
  • Trade in calendar 2017 upgraded, mostly reflecting larger expected shipments by Thailand owing to ample local availabilities. Trade preliminarily seen expanding further in 2018.
  • Stocks (ending in 2018) to decline modestly, as drawdowns, mostly in the US and Thailand, are largely offset by build-ups elsewhere, especially in China.