Download the Monitor

AMIS Market Monitor

last release: Sep 2017

Supply & Demand

2016/17

2017/18 forecast

estimate

6 July

7 Sep

Production

501.0

502.9

503.4

Supply

671.8

673.6

674.1

Utilization

499.9

505.6

506.5

Trade

44.5

44.4

44.8

Ending Stocks

170.8

171.0

171.2

in million tonnes

  • Rice 2017 production upgraded somewhat, but still pointing to a modest expansion from the 2016 all-time high.
  • Utilization in 2017/18 scaled up mostly on account of India and Thailand, which more than outweighed a reduction to China’s forecast.
  • Trade in 2018 forecast to remain brisk, with exports by Cambodia and China upgraded the most.
  • Stocks in 2018 little varied y/y, as accumulations in rice importing countries compensate for drawdowns in the major exporters.