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AMIS Market Monitor

last release: July 2019

Supply & Demand

2018/19

2019/20 

estimate

6 Jun

4 Jul

Production

517.8

516.7

516.3

Supply

690.9

697.3

696.9

Utilization

511.3

518.2

518.3

Trade

46.9

48.8

48.9

Ending Stocks

180.6

179.1

178.6

in million tonnes

  • Rice production in 2019 lowered fractionally, as reduced expectations, mainly for the US, are partly compensated by improved prospects for Egypt and several other countries.
  • Utilization in 2019/20 still expected to expand by 1.4 percent supported by greater food intake.
  • Trade is contracting by 3.1 percent in 2019 before rebounding to an all-time high in 2020.
  • Stocks (2019/20 carry-outs) trimmed, primarily reflecting lower expected inventories in the Philippines and the US.