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AMIS Market Monitor

last release: April 2019

Supply & Demand

2017/18

2018/19 

estimate

7 Mar

4 Apr

Production

509.5

514.9

516.4

Supply

679.4

687.4

690.9

Utilization

506.4

509.3

510.6

Trade

47.8

47.1

46.6

Ending Stocks

174.6

177.6

181.5

in million tonnes

  • Rice production estimate for 2018 raised, with a higher number for China only partially offsetting lower estimates for Thailand.
  • Trade in 2019 lowered m/m, with reduced shipments from India driving the adjustment; pointing to a 2.6 percent decline from 2018.
  • Utilization in 2018/19 to grow 0.8 percent catalysed by greater food intake.
  • Stocks (2018/19 carry-out) anticipated to expand 3.9 percent and revised up m/m based on higher carryover expansions in China and India.