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AMIS Market Monitor

last release: June 2018

Supply & Demand

2017/18

2018/19 forecast

estimate

3 May

7 Jun

Production

 1,089.7 

1,047.3

1,046.5

Supply

 1,388.9

1,304.5

1,359.2

Utilization

1,069.1

1,072.4 

1,090.0

Trade

145.4

143.6

147.0

Ending Stocks

311.9

226.9

262.4

in million tonnes

  • Maize production for 2018 is forecast to fall by 4.0 percent from last year’s record volume.
  • Utilization in 2018/19 to rise by 2.0 percent on growing feed and industrial use; significantly higher feed use is projected for China, Latin America and the Russian Federation.
  • Trade in 2018/19 (July/June) to increase by 1.1 percent, driven by higher import demand in Asia and continued large export availabilities.
  • Stocks (ending in 2019) to plunge by 16 percent on drawdowns in China, Latin America and the US. Global stock estimates revised up sharply since the previous report following historical revisions to China’s maize utilization and stocks.